Sunday 22 September 2019

Most Workers Are Remainers



Anyone who works will know that the majority of the workforce that they come into contact with are not in favour of Brexit.


It makes a lot of sense that this is the case.  The Brexit vote was close, but pensioners who on the whole don't have jobs were overwhelmingly pro-Brexit.  So by the simple application of arithmetic it is obvious that most people who do have jobs are anti-Brexit.

This is backed up by research carried out by the distinctly pro-Brexit Lord Ashcroft.  Indeed it is the first conclusion that  is drawn from it.


This is quite an important statistic and one that really should be much better known.  It means that the people most affected by the big change to the way we do business are not the ones who voted for it.  This isn't a reason to cancel Brexit of course.  Older people's votes count as much as anyone else's.  And who knows, maybe when we catch up with them in terms of experience we'll come to understand what it was that motivated them and realise they were right all along.  My personal journey has been very much in the other direction personally.  But who knows.

But given that the question on the ballot paper was vague and that in our system referendums are advisory, I think it does have a bearing on the nature of the kinds of Brexit that ought to be considered.  It really does make a soft Brexit, one that has the minimal commercial impact, the choice.  Luckily this is what the other party to the discussion would prefer.  Disrupting trade affects both sides and the Europeans won't want to lose money any more than we do. 

On top of that, unless there is something about the EU that only becomes obvious after more than 30 years reflection on the matter, it looks like in the near future the majority of people will want to remain in the EU.   Predicting the future is never easy, but it seems likely we'll want to rejoin soon. So it makes sense not to change too much in one go.

There's also the argument that we are British and we should try to avoid causing a fuss.  I can't make that one stand up with logic and statistics, but it makes sense to me at least.

The argument that the democratic interpretation of the referendum result is that we should aim for a soft non-disruptive Brexit is also backed up by the 2017 general election result when the voters did not give one party and its programme a majority.



https://lordashcroftpolls.com/2019/03/a-reminder-of-how-britain-voted-in-the-eu-referendum-and-why/

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